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The Digest: Nicaragua edition… Casinos and beer in Vietnam… A $650,000 lunch… Norway drops the ball… Gross triples up on mortgage debt…

We're taking Memorial Day off from The Digest so I can practice my metric conversions. When we resume publishing on Tuesday, we'll be in Nicaragua. Our parent company was kind enough to invite us to tour Rancho Santana, its beautiful beachside development. All next week, we'll update you on our trip and post pictures of Nicaragua. Steve Sjuggerud, Tom Dyson, Jeff Clark, and Matt Badiali will join us.

Also, we're considering running themed Digests on location from around the world. We thought you'd enjoy a week from Vancouver, a major oil and gas capital, including daily interviews with Rick Rule – one of the smartest natural resource investors around. Where else would you like us to travel? What's going on in the world that you want to know more about?

One place where I've long wanted to travel, Vietnam, is finally opening up to Western investment. The Asian country is allowing a Canadian developer, teamed with hedge fund Harbinger Capital, to build a $4.5 billion casino-resort. The project, called Ho Tran, will be the biggest foreign investment there to date. When completed in 2015, the resort will have five hotels with 9,000 rooms and two casinos. Ho Tran will also have an 18-hole Greg Norman-designed golf course, a Cirque du Soleil theater, and a site for swimming with the dolphins.

I got excited about Vietnam after hearing hedge-fund manager Carlo Cannell's speech at last year's Value Investing Congress. Cannell titled his speech "Investing in the Dark," or something close to that, because no Vietnamese companies kept good financial records. Cannell said he met with CEOs and CFOs who had no idea what free cash flow and depreciation were. So, instead of running financial analyses, he based his decisions on management's character. And he made huge gains – several stocks returned thousands of percent.

Our favorite idea for Vietnam: Buy the brewer. Cannell reported the Vietnamese are the world's biggest beer drinkers. Whenever he went to a restaurant, the first thing the waiter did – without direction – was place a case of beer on the table.

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The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund, the world's second largest, turned in the worst quarter since it started in 1998. The Government Pension Fund, with $350 billion under management, dropped 5.6% in the first quarter, erasing its 4.3% return last year. Leave it to the government to bungle a situation like this.

Norway should consider keeping more of its money in Matt Badiali's recommendation of its state-owned oil company, StatoilHydro (STO). The recommendation is up 40% in four months. If you know someone high up in Norway's government, encourage them to get a subscription to the S&A Oil Report. Click the link to learn how else S&A Oil Report readers are profiting from record crude prices.

Bond King Bill Gross nearly tripled his holding of mortgage debt to more than 60% of his fund. Gross' $130 billion Pimco Total Return Fund has returned 12.6% in 12 months, beating 99% of its peers, according to Morningstar. Gross based his decision to buy more mortgage debt on the U.S. government's guarantee of Freddie and Fannie mortgages. "Government policy is moving to sanctify the status of the government-sponsored agencies. It became a question of which institutions would be sheltered by the government umbrella," he said. He's mainly buying mortgage-agency debt and "not the subprime garbage."

New highs: Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A), Petrobras (PBR), StatoilHydro (STO).

Plans for the memorial day weekend? Let's hear em... feedback@stansberrryesearch.com.

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"It is a good thing that you are a good editor, because you stink in your math abilities. How on earth did you get 8x4 feet as equivalent to 10.2 square meters? Which is 3.1937 meters on a side. Just doing a quick and dirty conversion where 2.54 cm = 1 inch we get 10.47 feet on a side. This is 109.79 square feet, a far cry from your 32 square feet. Still, 5.5 euro per square foot is a bit high." – Paid-up subscriber Larry

Goldsmith comment: Everyone makes mistakes, Larry. I will certainly be more astute next time I'm shopping for an apartment in Europe.

"Since they are prostitutes there has to be room for a bed." – Paid-up subscriber William

"Since you provide a list of your hall of fame picks, could you also provide a list of your closed positions and the result so your readers could be more informed?" – Paid- up subscriber David Riva

Goldsmith comment: We have hundreds, probably thousands, of closed positions, and I don't think a list of them all would benefit anyone. However, we did publish our "hall of shame" in The Digest. We don't try to hide our losses.

Regards,

Sean Goldsmith
Baltimore, Maryland
May 23, 2008

Stansberry & Associates Top 10 Open Recommendations

Stock
Sym
Buy Date
Total Return
Pub
Editor
Seabridge
SA
7/6/2005
779.9%
Sjug Conf.
Sjuggerud
Humboldt Wedag
KHD
8/8/2003
538.4%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Icahn Enterprises IEP 6/10/2004
370.6%
Extreme Val
Ferris
EnCana ECA 5/14/2004
366.1%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Exelon
EXC
10/1/2002
362.7%
PSIA
Stansberry
Petrobras
PBR
2/13/2007
200.0%
Oil Report
Badiali 
Valhi
VHI
3/7/2005
184.4%
PSIA
Stansberry
Crucell
CRXL
3/10/2004
181.9%
Phase 1
Fannon
POSCO
PKX
4/8/2005
164.2%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Alexander & Baldwin
ALEX
10/11/2002
153.0%
Extreme Val
Ferris

Top 10 Totals
5
Extreme Value Ferris
2
PSIA Stansberry
1
Sjug. Conf. Sjuggerud
1
Phase 1 Fannon
1
Oil Report Badiali

Stansberry & Associates Hall of Fame

Stock
Sym
Holding Period
Gain
Pub
Editor
JDS Uniphase
JDSU
1 year, 266 days
592%
PSIA Stansberry
Medis Tech
MDTL
4 years, 110 days
333%
Diligence Ferris
ID Biomedical
IDBE
5 years, 38 days
331%
Diligence Lashmet
Texas Instr.
TXN
270 days
301%
PSIA Stansberry
Cree Inc.
CREE
206 days
271%
PSIA Stansberry
Celgene
CELG
2 years, 113 days
233%
PSIA Stansberry
Nuance Comm.
NUAN
326 days
229%
Diligence Lashmet
Airspan Networks
AIRN
3 years, 241 days
227%
Diligence Stansberry
ID Biomedical
IDBE
357 days
215%
PSIA Stansberry
Elan
ELN
331 days
207%
PSIA Stansberry
 
 

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