October 22, 2007 Home | Print Edition | Close Window
On location in New Orleans... Foreign treasuries dump the dollar... Don't forget your dividends...

We're keeping The Digest short today. Porter, Brian Hunt, and I are in New Orleans attending the New Orleans Investment Conference. All of our friends are here... Van Simmons, Rick Rule, Matt Badiali, Steve Sjuggerud... Porter is preparing for his talk this afternoon, and I'm going to head back inside to hear a few more presentations. We'll pass on the pearls to you.

Overheard in New Orleans...

"Hollywood is moving to New Orleans... it's so cheap."

I was speaking with an honest-to-goodness movie star at the hotel bar yesterday, and he told me that Hollywood studios are filming more and more in New Orleans. He's down here working out the details for his latest film. The city is desperate for revenue, so it is happy letting these people invade the streets. Hollywood may not be as stupid as we thought... To give you an idea of the local situation, a healthy real estate market should take about five months to empty its home supply. New Orleans has a 10-month inventory of homes in the $300,000 range and a 23-month inventory for homes between $750,000 and $1 million.

Adrian Day, an English money manager and a mainstay at this conference for many years, made some interesting points in his speech this morning. For one, Adrian is bearish on the dollar. He said most foreign countries – including Kuwait, Russia, China, and Sweden – have 90% of their nondomestic holdings in the U.S. dollar and now they're dumping. It's simply imprudent to hold such nondiversified reserves. Adrian also believes U.S. markets are overvalued in terms of price to earnings and price to book. And the average dividend yield of the S&P is 1.85%, 47% lower than the historical average.

To combat the fall in the U.S., Adrian recommends looking to emerging markets, although many of those are overvalued as well. He likes Japan and Brazil, in particular. One stock he likes is Gafisa, a Brazilian real estate company in which Sam Zell is the largest shareholder.

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Regards,

Sean Goldsmith
New Orleans, Louisiana
October 22, 2007

Stansberry & Associates Top 10 Open Recommendations

Stock
Sym
Buy Date
Total Return
Pub
Editor
Seabridge
SA
7/6/2005
1191.3%
Sjug Conf.
Sjuggerud
Humboldt Wedag
KHD
8/8/2003
620.8%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Icahn Enterprises
IEP
6/10/2004
544.7%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Exelon
EXC
10/1/2002
299.8%
PSIA
Stansberry
EnCana
ECA
5/14/2004
218.8%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Posco
PKX
4/8/2005
213.7%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Crucell
CRXL
3/10/2004
179.4%
Phase 1
Fannon
Sangamo
SGMO
5/25/2006
173.9%
Phase 1
Fannon
Nokia
NOK
7/1/2004
162.2%
PSIA
Stansberry
Valhi
VHI
3/1/2005
154.1%
PSIA
Stansberry

Top 10 Totals
4
Extreme Value Ferris
3
PSIA Stansberry
2
Phase 1 Fannon
1
Sjug. Conf. Sjuggerud

Stansberry & Associates Hall of Fame

Stock
Sym
Holding Period
Gain
Pub
Editor
JDS Uniphase
JDSU
1 year, 266 days
592%
PSIA Stansberry
Medis Tech
MDTL
4 years, 110 days
333%
Diligence Ferris
ID Biomedical
IDBE
5 years, 38 days
331%
Diligence Lashmet
Texas Instr.
TXN
270 days
301%
PSIA Stansberry
Cree Inc.
CREE
206 days
271%
PSIA Stansberry
Celgene
CELG
2 years, 113 days
233%
PSIA Stansberry
Nuance Comm.
NUAN
326 days
229%
Diligence Lashmet
Airspan Networks
AIRN
3 years, 241 days
227%
Diligence Stansberry
ID Biomedical
IDBE
357 days
215%
PSIA Stansberry
Elan
ELN
331 days
207%
PSIA Stansberry
 
 

Published by Stansberry & Associates Investment Research.

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