October 5, 2007 Home | Print Edition | Close Window

The S&A 16 is here... Mega mansions on sale... Don't forget Barnes & Noble... Gems in the "garbage"...

Goldsmith comment: Porter's knee-deep in his monthly issue, so I'm taking over.

Our quarterly S&A 16 model portfolio goes out to Alliance subscribers today. Some of the major investment themes we're focusing on this quarter are lower interest rates and a booming commodities market. We think this is our best portfolio to date.

For those of you unfamiliar with the S&A 16, it is a quarterly portfolio made up of the best stocks in our S&A universe. We choose four stocks from each of the following categories: macro, income, value, and growth. However, this service is only available to members of the Alliance – our premium lifetime membership.

On top of receiving everything we publish for life (except Phase 1), our Alliance members also get early access to our new international letter and ETF letter. We'll make these available to the general public next year... for a price, of course.

If you're interested in joining the Alliance, we'll be opening membership soon. If you can't wait and want to get in on this quarter's S&A 16, please call Michael Cottet at 410-864-1709.

When I look at the carnage in the housing market, the mortgage market looks like Berlin after the war. It is a pretty big mess. One that, I think, will take a number of years to work our way through. – Lewis Ranieri, mortgage-backed security pioneer, as quoted in Investment Dealers' Digest

While things in the housing market may be rosier than mortgages, conditions are far from good. Homebuilders are now selling houses for almost any price, often discounting new builds up to 40%. It's crunch time, and the homebuilders just want to unload themselves of debt and get some income flowing through the doors.

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Also, the real estate slump has seeped into another sector of the market... mega mansions. A 22,000-square-foot estate in Greenwich, Connecticut, just went on sale for $19 million, $3 million (14%) off the original price. Greenwich is the unofficial hedge fund capital of the world, and its hoards of wealthy residents are now seeing some uncertainty in their Christmas bonuses. Despite the recent slowdown, Greenwich real estate experts expect home sales at the highest end, $8 million and up, to rise.

In Wednesday's Digest, we reported that Borders Group (BGP) CEO George Jones bought 50,000 shares of his company. He's not the only one gobbling up bookseller stock. Inside Strategist editor Graham Summers told readers that Leonard Riggio, founder of Barnes & Noble (BKS), purchased 200,000 shares of common stock since August. Riggio has a rich history of calling bottoms in his company's share price. He loaded up with shares at four bottoms between November 2005 and today. Graham's readers are up 8% since last week.

But it doesn't end there. Activist investor Bill Ackman owns 6.5 million shares of BKS and 6.8 million shares of BGP.

Extreme Value pick Janus Capital (JNS) got a quick boost this morning. UBS upgraded the money manager, and shares gained close to 5% today. Dan's readers are now up 110% on the stock.

New high: Park Electrochemical (PKE).

Yet another week has passed in the mailbag. What will Monday bring? A resurgence of venom, perhaps? Whatever it is, send it our way... feedback@stansberryresearch.com.

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Regards,

Sean Goldsmith
Baltimore, Maryland
October 5, 2007

Stansberry & Associates Top 10 Open Recommendations

Stock
Sym
Buy Date
Total Return
Pub
Editor
Seabridge
SA
7/6/2005
1051.1%
Sjug Conf.
Sjuggerud
Icahn Enterprises
IEP
6/10/2004
512.8%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Humboldt Wedag
KHD
8/8/2003
480.3%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Exelon
EXC
10/1/2002
305.6%
PSIA
Stansberry
Posco
PKX
4/8/2005
283.4%
Extreme Val
Ferris
EnCana
ECA
5/14/2004
217.1%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Crucell
CRXL
3/10/2004
191.0%
Phase 1
Fannon
Alexander & Baldwin
ALEX
10/11/2002
174.9%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Consolidated Tomoka
CTO
9/12/2003
167.2%
Extreme Val
Ferris
Valhi
VHI
3/1/2005
163.0%
PSIA
Stansberry

Top 10 Totals
6
Extreme Value Ferris
2
PSIA Stansberry
1
Sjug. Conf. Sjuggerud
1
Phase 1 Fannon

Stansberry & Associates Hall of Fame

Stock
Sym
Holding Period
Gain
Pub
Editor
JDS Uniphase
JDSU
1 year, 266 days
592%
PSIA Stansberry
Medis Tech
MDTL
4 years, 110 days
333%
Diligence Ferris
ID Biomedical
IDBE
5 years, 38 days
331%
Diligence Lashmet
Texas Instr.
TXN
270 days
301%
PSIA Stansberry
Cree Inc.
CREE
206 days
271%
PSIA Stansberry
Celgene
CELG
2 years, 113 days
233%
PSIA Stansberry
Nuance Comm.
NUAN
326 days
229%
Diligence Lashmet
Airspan Networks
AIRN
3 years, 241 days
227%
Diligence Stansberry
ID Biomedical
IDBE
357 days
215%
PSIA Stansberry
Elan
ELN
331 days
207%
PSIA Stansberry
 
 

Published by Stansberry & Associates Investment Research.

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